Match Info
USA: NFL - Round 5Date: 6 October 2024, SundayLocation: FedEx Field (Landover, MD)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
United-kingdom | DAZN NFL |
Usa | NFL Game Pass |
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Washington Commanders |
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Cleveland Browns |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 44.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers) Network on TV: FOX#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Washington Commanders 58.2% | Cleveland Browns 41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Washington Commanders's performance.Cleveland Browns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cleveland Browns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Commanders that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cleveland Browns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Washington Commanders - Cleveland Browns Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Cleveland will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 38.8% – 86.2%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 0)
- 12:20, Robinson Jr. B. (Touchdown),
- 12:20, Seibert A. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (17 - 3)
- 01:47, Hopkins D. (Field Goal),
- 06:16, Seibert A. (Field Goal),
- 11:49, Robinson Jr. B. (Touchdown),
- 11:49, Seibert A. (Extra Point),
- 14:24, Brown D. (Touchdown),
- 14:24, Seibert A. (Extra Point),
- 3rd Quarter (10 - 3)
- 02:45, Hopkins D. (Field Goal),
- 07:37, McNichols J. (Touchdown),
- 07:37, Seibert A. (Extra Point),
- 12:22, Seibert A. (Field Goal),
- 4th Quarter (0 - 7)
- 07:58, Akins J. (Touchdown),
- 07:58, Hopkins D. (Extra Point),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 and 13).Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington won 2. Washington is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Cleveland is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Washington will have a small advantage in this match. Our prediction for today's Washington to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Washington won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 170:184 (average 21.3:23). Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 65:67 (average 21.7:22.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 11.08.23 | Cleveland Browns - Washington Commanders | 15:17 | | 01.01.23 | Washington Commanders - Cleveland Browns | 10:24 | | 27.09.20 | Cleveland Browns - Washington Commanders | 34:20 | | 08.08.19 | Cleveland Browns - Washington Commanders | 30:10 | | 02.10.16 | Washington Commanders - Cleveland Browns | 31:20 | | 13.08.15 | Cleveland Browns - Washington Commanders | 17:20 | | 18.08.14 | Washington Commanders - Cleveland Browns | 24:23 |
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Upcoming Matches
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