Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Japan Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Tokyo Metropolitan Gymnasium (Tokyo)


	Alex Lanier		Alwi Farhan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.26	Watch
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Lanier
59.7%

Alwi Farhan
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Lanier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alwi Farhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Lanier than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Lanier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alwi Farhan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alwi Farhan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

Lanier is ranked BWF: 7. Farhan is ranked BWF: 10.

Lanier is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Farhan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lanier might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanier won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Lanier
Badminton
14.07.26	Alex Lanier - Chia Hao Lee	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Alex Lanier - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Lanier - Jun Hao Leong	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Anders Antonsen - Alex Lanier	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Alex Lanier - Kean Yew Loh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Alwi Farhan
Badminton
14.07.26	Alwi Farhan - Kenta Nishimoto	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Tian Yao Dong - Alwi Farhan	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Alwi Farhan - Jason Gunawan	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Chia Hao Lee - Alwi Farhan	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Minoru Koga - Alwi Farhan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
30.05.26	Alwi Farhan - Alex Lanier	0:2
28.04.26	Alwi Farhan - Alex Lanier	0:2
07.01.26	Alwi Farhan - Alex Lanier	1:2
21.10.25	Alex Lanier - Alwi Farhan	0:2
16.07.25	Alex Lanier - Alwi Farhan	2:1

Alex Lanier - Alwi Farhan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide