Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - WOMEN: Japan Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tokyo Metropolitan Gymnasium (Tokyo)


	Busanan Ongbamrungphan		Michelle Li

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.87	1.34	Watch
	2.66	1.43	Watch
	2.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.45)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 81.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busanan Ongbamrungphan
35.9%

Michelle Li
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busanan Ongbamrungphan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Michelle Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busanan Ongbamrungphan than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michelle Li than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Preview

Ongbamrungphan is ranked BWF: 20. Li is ranked BWF: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ongbamrungphan won 3.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ongbamrungphan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Li could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ongbamrungphan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busanan Ongbamrungphan
Badminton
19.06.26	Ga Eun Park - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	Park G. E. Walkover ✺
18.06.26	Passa-Orn Phannachet - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Keisha Fatimah Az Zahra - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Pusarla Venkata Sindhu - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Hina Akechi - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?WWLL
- Michelle Li
Badminton
04.07.26	Michelle Li - Riko Gunji	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Michelle Li - Ching Ping Huang	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Michelle Li - Juliana Viana Viera	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Michelle Li - Anmol Kharb	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Michelle Li - Su Yu Chen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
16.09.25	Michelle Li - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	2:1
16.10.24	Michelle Li - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	2:0
05.07.24	Busanan Ongbamrungphan - Michelle Li	2:1
27.03.24	Busanan Ongbamrungphan - Michelle Li	Canceled
08.06.22	Michelle Li - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	1:2
08.11.19	Busanan Ongbamrungphan - Michelle Li	0:2
12.07.18	Michelle Li - Busanan Ongbamrungphan	2:1

Busanan Ongbamrungphan - Michelle Li: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide