Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Canada Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Markham Pan Am Centre (Markham, ON)


	Julien Carraggi		Shogo Ogawa

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.42
	1.51	2.32	Watch
	2.56	1.46
	2.60	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)	1.66 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julien Carraggi
41.7%

Shogo Ogawa
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julien Carraggi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Shogo Ogawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julien Carraggi than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julien Carraggi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shogo Ogawa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shogo Ogawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Carraggi is ranked BWF: 51. Ogawa is ranked BWF: 83.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ogawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ogawa could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julien Carraggi
Badminton
01.07.26	Jonathan Matias - Julien Carraggi	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Julien Carraggi - Lakshya Sen	Canceled ✺
24.06.26	Julien Carraggi - Yudai Okimoto	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Ka Long Angus Ng - Julien Carraggi	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Julien Carraggi - Kunlavut Vitidsarn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?LLL
- Shogo Ogawa
Badminton
01.07.26	Shogo Ogawa - Brian Yang	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Shogo Ogawa - Yudai Okimoto	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Harry Huang - Shogo Ogawa	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Shogo Ogawa - Po-Wei Wang	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Chao Sun - Shogo Ogawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWL

Julien Carraggi - Shogo Ogawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide