Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Japan Open - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Tokyo Metropolitan Gymnasium (Tokyo)


	Koki Watanabe		Anders Antonsen

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.32	1.51
	2.47	1.49	Watch
	2.15	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.96)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 79.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Watanabe
38.5%

Anders Antonsen
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Watanabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Koki Watanabe's performance.

Anders Antonsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anders Antonsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Watanabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anders Antonsen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anders Antonsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watanabe is ranked BWF: 17. Antonsen is ranked BWF: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watanabe won 2.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Antonsen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Watanabe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Watanabe
Badminton
16.07.26	Koki Watanabe - Nhat Nguyen	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Lakshya Sen - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Koki Watanabe - Victor Lai	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Brian Yang - Koki Watanabe	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Kean Yew Loh - Koki Watanabe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Anders Antonsen
Badminton
16.07.26	Moh Zaki Ubaidillah - Anders Antonsen	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Toma Junior Popov - Anders Antonsen	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Anders Antonsen - Alex Lanier	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Anders Antonsen - Alex Lanier	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Anders Antonsen - Victor Lai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
20.05.26	Koki Watanabe - Anders Antonsen	Canceled
03.03.26	Anders Antonsen - Koki Watanabe	0:2
09.01.25	Koki Watanabe - Anders Antonsen	1:2
20.10.24	Koki Watanabe - Anders Antonsen	0:2
11.01.24	Koki Watanabe - Anders Antonsen	0:2
13.10.23	Anders Antonsen - Koki Watanabe	2:1
31.03.23	Koki Watanabe - Anders Antonsen	0:2

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