Match Info

BWF - WOMEN: World Championships - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Adidas Arena (Paris)


	Michelle Li		Natsuki Nidaira

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.58	2.31
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.91)	2.13 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michelle Li
56.1%

Natsuki Nidaira
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michelle Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michelle Li's performance.

Natsuki Nidaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Natsuki Nidaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michelle Li than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michelle Li that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsuki Nidaira than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natsuki Nidaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Li is ranked BWF: 16. Nidaira is ranked BWF: 20.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michelle Li
Badminton
23.07.25	Se Young An - Michelle Li	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Yufei Chen - Michelle Li	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Manami Suizu - Michelle Li	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Michelle Li - Manami Suizu	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Michelle Li - Nozomi Okuhara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- Natsuki Nidaira
Badminton
01.08.25	Hsiang Ti Lin - Natsuki Nidaira	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Qianxi Han	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Lalinrat Chaiwan	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Yue Han - Natsuki Nidaira	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Putri Wardani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
21.01.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Michelle Li	2:0
12.11.24	Natsuki Nidaira - Michelle Li	0:2

Michelle Li - Natsuki Nidaira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide