Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - WOMEN: Australian Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Quaycentre (Sydney)


	Natsuki Nidaira		Michelle Li

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.26	1.55
	1.26	3.33	Watch
	2.35	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)	1.98 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsuki Nidaira
48.6%

Michelle Li
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsuki Nidaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Michelle Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsuki Nidaira than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Natsuki Nidaira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michelle Li than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michelle Li could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nidaira is ranked BWF: 27. Li is ranked BWF: 15.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nidaira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nidaira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsuki Nidaira
Badminton
18.11.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Tomoka Miyazaki	Canceled ✺
12.11.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Hina Akechi	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Ga Eun Kim - Natsuki Nidaira	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Ratchanok Intanon	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Pornpawee Chochuwong	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 ?LLW?
- Michelle Li
Badminton
18.11.25	Hsiang Ti Lin - Michelle Li	Canceled ✺
13.11.25	Michelle Li - Ling Ching Wong	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Michelle Li - Tereza Svabikova	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Michelle Li - Yue Han	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Yu Po Pai - Michelle Li	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
25.08.25	Michelle Li - Natsuki Nidaira	2:0
21.01.25	Natsuki Nidaira - Michelle Li	2:0
12.11.24	Natsuki Nidaira - Michelle Li	0:2

Natsuki Nidaira - Michelle Li: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide