Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Australian Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Shogo Ogawa		Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.35	1.54
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shogo Ogawa
39.5%

Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shogo Ogawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shogo Ogawa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shogo Ogawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Ogawa is ranked BWF: 86. Dwi Wardoyo is ranked BWF: 44.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ogawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dwi Wardoyo might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shogo Ogawa
Badminton
12.11.25	Shogo Ogawa - Kean Yew Loh	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Shogo Ogawa - Justin Hoh	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Jia Heng Jason Teh - Shogo Ogawa	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Shogo Ogawa - Moh Zaki Ubaidillah	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Brian Yang - Shogo Ogawa	Ogawa S. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLW?
- Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo
Badminton
04.11.25	Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo - Viren Nettasinghe	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Xin Yu Zhou - Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Tien Chen Chou - Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo - H. S. Prannoy	Prannoy H. S. retired ✺
21.09.25	Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo - Hyeok Jin Jeon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWL?W

Shogo Ogawa - Chico Aura Dwi Wardoyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide