Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Arctic Open - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Energia Areena (Vantaa)


	Toma Junior Popov		Yuji Tanaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.97
	1.7	1.98
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.72	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 80.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toma Junior Popov
53.5%

Yuji Tanaka
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toma Junior Popov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Yuji Tanaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toma Junior Popov than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toma Junior Popov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuji Tanaka than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuji Tanaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Popov is ranked BWF: 15., and Tanaka is ranked BWF: 18..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Popov holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Popov has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toma Junior Popov
Badminton
07.10.26	Toma Junior Popov - Rasmus Gemke	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Cheuk Yiu Lee - Toma Junior Popov	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Toma Junior Popov - Tien Chen Chou	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Anders Antonsen - Toma Junior Popov	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Toma Junior Popov - Hein Htut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Yuji Tanaka
Badminton
07.10.26	Joakim Oldorff - Yuji Tanaka	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Kunlavut Vitidsarn - Yuji Tanaka	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Tien Chen Chou - Yuji Tanaka	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Yuji Tanaka - Ade Resky Dwicahyo	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Hong Yang Weng - Yuji Tanaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
04.03.26	Yuji Tanaka - Toma Junior Popov	0:2
26.05.25	Yuji Tanaka - Toma Junior Popov	0:2

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