Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - WOMEN: HYLO OPEN (GERMANY) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Saarlandhalle (Saarbrücken)


	Yi Man Zhang		Nozomi Okuhara

	1	2
	2.1	1.6
	2.1	1.65
	2.11	1.6
	2.42	1.57
	2.2	1.62
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	2.13	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.61)	1.63 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Man Zhang
43%

Nozomi Okuhara
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Man Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yi Man Zhang's performance.

Nozomi Okuhara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nozomi Okuhara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Man Zhang than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yi Man Zhang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nozomi Okuhara than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nozomi Okuhara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Yi Man Zhang - Nozomi Okuhara Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Okuhara will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

Recent matches Zhang is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Okuhara is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Okuhara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Okuhara will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Okuhara to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Man Zhang
Badminton
04.11.22	Carolina Marin - Yi Man Zhang	1:2 ✺
03.11.22	Line Christophersen - Yi Man Zhang	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Iris Wang - Yi Man Zhang	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Carolina Marin - Yi Man Zhang	2:0 ✺
20.10.22	Yi Man Zhang - Ratchanok Intanon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLL
- Nozomi Okuhara
Badminton
04.11.22	Nozomi Okuhara - Wen Chi Hsu	2:1 ✺
03.11.22	Nozomi Okuhara - Xuefei Qi	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Nozomi Okuhara - Lauren Lam	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Nozomi Okuhara - Lalinrat Chaiwan	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Nozomi Okuhara - Neslihan Yigit	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWL?

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