Match Info

BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Japan Open - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tokyo Metropolitan Gymnasium (Tokyo)


	Yuji Tanaka		Shi Feng Li

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.05	1.65
	2.42	1.51
	2.31	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.19)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 78.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuji Tanaka
41.1%

Shi Feng Li
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuji Tanaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Shi Feng Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuji Tanaka than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuji Tanaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shi Feng Li than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shi Feng Li could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yuji Tanaka - Shi Feng Li Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Li will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Tanaka is ranked BWF: 22. Li is ranked BWF: 8.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tanaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuji Tanaka
Badminton
11.06.26	Yuji Tanaka - Ka Long Angus Ng	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Yuji Tanaka - Xuan Chen Zhu	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Yuji Tanaka - Nhat Nguyen	Canceled ✺
05.06.26	Yuji Tanaka - Jonatan Christie	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Yuqi Shi - Yuji Tanaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LW?LW
- Shi Feng Li
Badminton
04.06.26	Shi Feng Li - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Shi Feng Li - Kenta Nishimoto	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Shi Feng Li - Hong Yang Weng	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Shi Feng Li - Panitchaphon Teeraratsakul	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Zhe An Hu - Shi Feng Li	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Badminton
25.08.25	Shi Feng Li - Yuji Tanaka	1:2
19.08.24	Shi Feng Li - Yuji Tanaka	Canceled

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