Match Info

LMP

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Kuroda Park (Guasave)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Algodoneros de Guasave		Naranjeros de Hermosillo

	1	2
	2.16	1.7
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algodoneros de Guasave
43.8%

Naranjeros de Hermosillo
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algodoneros de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Naranjeros de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algodoneros de Guasave than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Algodoneros will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
99. Avans D.	33. Cardona J.
88. Quiroz E.	7. Atondo J.
3. Heras L.	43. Ramirez H.
46. Ervin P.	37. Calhoun W.
61. Pina O.	40. Bowens T.
54. Avila E.	51. Salazar C.
1. Alvarez R.	77. Garcia E.
5. Flores J.	50. Murillo A.
15. Barriga A.	74. Ramirez A.
Pitchers
17. Vargas V.	88. Toussaint T.
Coaches
. Moreno J.	. Castro J.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 2.

Algodoneros is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Naranjeros is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 62:83. (average 3.1:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Algodoneros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:42. (average 4.3:5.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.86%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algodoneros de Guasave
LMP
10.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:10 ✺
09.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:7 ✺
07.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Algodoneros de Guasave	7:6 ✺
06.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Algodoneros de Guasave	1:8 ✺
05.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Algodoneros de Guasave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Naranjeros de Hermosillo
LMP
10.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:10 ✺
09.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:7 ✺
07.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	5:3 ✺
06.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	8:7 ✺
05.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
10.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:10
09.12.25	Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	4:7
06.11.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave	5:8
05.11.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave	1:2
04.11.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave	9:3
22.12.24	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave	2:1
21.12.24	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave	1:0

Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide