Match Info

LMP - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Fernando Valenzuela (Hermosillo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube, TVC Deportes 2


	Naranjeros de Hermosillo		Charros de Jalisco

	1	2
	1.5	2.4
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
			Watch
	1.52	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)	2.42 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naranjeros de Hermosillo
61.6%

Charros de Jalisco
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naranjeros de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naranjeros de Hermosillo's performance.

Charros de Jalisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charros de Jalisco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naranjeros de Hermosillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charros de Jalisco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Jalisco will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jalisco (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
56. Johnson D.	26. Wielansky M.
7. Atondo J.	40. Madris B.
17. Paredes I.	3. Gil M.
37. Calhoun W.	31. Ornelas J.
22. Cordero A.	17. Rodriguez R.
43. Ramirez H.	18. Osuna A.
51. Salazar C.	79. Hollis C.
77. Garcia E.	49. Amador J.
8. Tolentino M.	44. Cordoba F.
Pitchers
26. Cruz O.	36. Medrano R.
Coaches
. Castro J.	. Gil B.

Preview

Charros de Jalisco leads series 3-2. 6th leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Naranjeros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 95:117. (average 4.8:5.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Naranjeros won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:23. (average 5.1:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.15%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naranjeros de Hermosillo
LMP
06.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	8:5 ✺
05.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	12:3 ✺
04.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	5:9 ✺
02.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	12:0 ✺
01.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
06.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	8:5 ✺
05.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	12:3 ✺
04.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	5:9 ✺
02.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	12:0 ✺
01.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
06.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	8:5
05.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	12:3
04.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	5:9
02.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	12:0
01.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	5:6
07.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	5:3
06.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	8:7

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