The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buffalo Bisons 49%
Rochester Red Wings 51%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.1%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buffalo Bisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Rochester Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Bisons than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Buffalo Bisons - Rochester Red Wings Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 14th and 1st in the Promotion ~ IL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Buffalo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Rochester has had a run of games away from home.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Buffalo has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 95:101 (averaging 4.8:5.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Buffalo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 52:57 goals (averaging 4.7:5.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Buffalo Bisons - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.09%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.