The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caliente de Durango 46.9%
Toros de Tijuana 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caliente de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Toros de Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros de Tijuana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Caliente de Durango - Toros de Tijuana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
2. Villar J.
74. Rodriguez I.
53. Pina L.
7. Guzman J.
10. Florial E.
99. Garcia E.
5. Gonzalez Y.
25. Mayfield J.
7. Johnson D.
12. Burruel S.
50. Hernandez E.
43. Lugo F.
72. Urena J.
4. Solis A.
48. Rivas W.
60. Amador L.
16. Marquez V.
58. Favela A.
Pitchers
76. Smeltzer D.
11. Hillman J.
Coaches
. Robles O.
. Kelly R.
Preview
Event will be played on 7.8. 0:05.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Toros de Tijuana has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 74:141. (average 3.7:7.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Caliente de Durango won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:63. (average 4.8:7.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Toros de Tijuana - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.96%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
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Villar J. 
Rodriguez I. 
Gonzalez Y. 
Johnson D. 
Kelly R. 
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