Match Info
LMBDate: 6 August 2026, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Francisco Villa (Durango)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Mexico | LMB.TV |
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Caliente de Durango |
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Toros de Tijuana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
|
1.75 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.99 |
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1.73 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97
(1.97) |
|
1.74 ↓
(1.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caliente de Durango
46.9% | Toros de Tijuana
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caliente de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Toros de Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros de Tijuana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
2.  Villar J.
| 74.  Rodriguez I.
|
53. Pina L.
| 7. Guzman J.
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10. Florial E.
| 99. Garcia E.
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5.  Gonzalez Y.
| 25. Mayfield J.
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7.  Johnson D.
| 12. Burruel S.
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50. Hernandez E.
| 43. Lugo F.
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72. Urena J.
| 4. Solis A.
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48. Rivas W.
| 60. Amador L.
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16. Marquez V.
| 58. Favela A.
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| Pitchers |
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76. Smeltzer D.
| 11. Hillman J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Robles O.
| .  Kelly R.
|
Preview
Event will be played on 7.8. 0:05.The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Recently, Toros de Tijuana has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 74:141. (average 3.7:7.1).Including home matches between the teams, Caliente de Durango won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:63. (average 4.8:7.9).
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Last Results with these Odds
Toros de Tijuana - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.96%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| LMB | | | 04.08.26 | Caliente de Durango - Toros de Tijuana | 4:8 | | 04.07.26 | Toros de Tijuana - Caliente de Durango | 10:8 | | 04.07.26 | Toros de Tijuana - Caliente de Durango | 6:2 | | 03.07.26 | Toros de Tijuana - Caliente de Durango | 2:3 | | 30.04.26 | Caliente de Durango - Toros de Tijuana | 4:9 | | 29.04.26 | Caliente de Durango - Toros de Tijuana | 4:9 | | 28.04.26 | Caliente de Durango - Toros de Tijuana | 7:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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