Match Info

LMB

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Villa (Durango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMB.TV


	Caliente de Durango		Charros de Jalisco

	1	2
	1.87	1.8
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.2
	1.61	2.33
			Watch
	1.6	2.22	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 12.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caliente de Durango
57.1%

Charros de Jalisco
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caliente de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Charros de Jalisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Caliente de Durango - Charros de Jalisco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5

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Lineups

Batters
2. Villar J.	3. Gil M.
90. Stankiewicz D.	25. Walsh J.
7. Johnson D.	41. Garlick K.
17. Rodriguez R.	20. Hernandez Y.
10. Florial E.	7. Mejia A.
25. Mejia A.	18. Lopez I.
50. Hernandez E.	48. Fargas J.
48. Rivas W.	59. Zavala S.
16. Marquez V.	2. Arocho J.
Pitchers
89. Villers I.	93. Grotz Z.
Coaches
. Robles O.	. Gil B.

Preview

Played for 7 innings.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caliente de Durango won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 115:108. (average 5.8:5.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Caliente de Durango won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 76:66. (average 6.9:6).

Last Results with these Odds

Caliente de Durango - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.29%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caliente de Durango
LMB
31.07.26	Charros de Jalisco - Caliente de Durango	12:16 ✺
30.07.26	Caliente de Durango - Monterrey Sultans	10:4 ✺
29.07.26	Caliente de Durango - Monterrey Sultans	7:6 ✺
28.07.26	Caliente de Durango - Monterrey Sultans	9:2 ✺
26.07.26	Caliente de Durango - Aguascalientes Railroaders	6:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL
- Charros de Jalisco
LMB
31.07.26	Charros de Jalisco - Caliente de Durango	12:16 ✺
30.07.26	Tecolotes de los Dos Laredos - Charros de Jalisco	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Tecolotes de los Dos Laredos - Charros de Jalisco	4:2 ✺
28.07.26	Tecolotes de los Dos Laredos - Charros de Jalisco	7:1 ✺
26.07.26	Charros de Jalisco - Monclova Steelers	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

LMB
31.07.26	Charros de Jalisco - Caliente de Durango	12:16
01.07.26	Caliente de Durango - Charros de Jalisco	4:3
01.07.26	Caliente de Durango - Charros de Jalisco	9:3
26.04.26	Charros de Jalisco - Caliente de Durango	6:8
25.04.26	Charros de Jalisco - Caliente de Durango	6:8
24.04.26	Charros de Jalisco - Caliente de Durango	2:1
03.08.25	Caliente de Durango - Charros de Jalisco	9:7

Caliente de Durango - Charros de Jalisco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide