Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	FOX One
Usa	FOX One


	Canada		USA

	1	2
	6.25	1.13
	6	1.14
	6.15	1.14
			Watch
	6	1.11
	8.65	1.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (6.19)	1.12 ↓ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada
14.5%

USA
85.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

84.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Canada - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half Innings - USA (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 5I - USA (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half Innings - USA (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - USA (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -5 - USA (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2I - USA (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1I - USA (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:8

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Lineups

Batters
6. Lopez O.	7. Witt B.
12. Naylor J.	24. Harper B.
9. O'Neill T.	99. Judge A.
21. Caissie O.	12. Schwarber K.
31. Toro A.	2. Bregman A.
7. Black T.	3. Anthony R.
23. Naylor B.	29. Raleigh C.
1. Clarke D.	13. Turang B.
15. Julien E.	4. Crow-Armstrong P.
Pitchers
99. Soroka M.	62. Webb L.
Coaches
. Whitt E.	. DeRosa M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 1.

USA is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Canada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, USA is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Canada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:49. (average 2.3:8.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada baseball
World Baseball Classic
11.03.26	Cuba - Canada	2:7 ✺
10.03.26	Puerto Rico - Canada	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Canada - Panama	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Canada - Colombia	8:2 ✺
15.03.23	Canada - Mexico	3:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWL
- USA baseball
World Baseball Classic
10.03.26	USA - Italy	6:8 ✺
09.03.26	USA - Mexico	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	USA - Great Britain	9:1 ✺
06.03.26	Brazil - USA	5:15 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	San Francisco Giants - USA	1:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Baseball Classic
13.03.23	USA - Canada	12:1
Olympic Games - Baseball
04.06.21	USA - Canada	10:1
World Baseball Classic
12.03.17	USA - Canada	8:0
Pan American Games Baseball
19.07.15	Canada - USA	7:6
17.07.15	Canada - USA	1:4
World Baseball Classic
10.03.13	Canada - USA	4:9

Canada - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide