Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Group Stage

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Fox Sports App
Canada	Sportsnet+
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Play Sport 1, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	Televisa
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Tubi TV


	USA		Italy

	1	2
	1.09	8
	1.1	7.6
	1.08	9
			Watch
	1.06	8
	1.04	13.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.08)	9.24 ↓ (9.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
89.6%

Italy
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

USA - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Italy (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5, OT - USA (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Italy (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 9:3

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Lineups

Batters
7. Witt B.	5. Berti J.
11. Henderson G.	9. Pasquantino V.
99. Judge A.	8. Canzone D.
12. Schwarber K.	4. Dezenzo Z.
16. Smith W.	28. Teel K.
3. Anthony R.	14. Caglianone J.
46. Goldschmidt P.	10. Antonacci S.
5. Clement E.	16. Nori D.
4. Crow-Armstrong P.	. Marsee J.
Pitchers
26. McLean N.	24. Lorenzen M.
Coaches
. DeRosa M.	. Cervelli F.

Preview

USA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, USA is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, USA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA baseball
World Baseball Classic
09.03.26	USA - Mexico	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	USA - Great Britain	9:1 ✺
06.03.26	Brazil - USA	5:15 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	San Francisco Giants - USA	1:15 ✺
WBSC Premier 12
23.11.24	Venezuela - USA	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Italy baseball
World Baseball Classic
08.03.26	Italy - Great Britain	7:4 ✺
07.03.26	Italy - Brazil	8:0 ✺
European Championship Baseball
27.09.25	Netherlands - Italy	6:5 ✺
26.09.25	Czech Republic - Italy	5:8 ✺
25.09.25	Germany - Italy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

World Baseball Classic
09.03.13	Italy - USA	2:6

USA - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide