Match Info

LVBP

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Antonio Herrera Gutierrez (Barquisimeto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Cardenales de Lara		Leones del Caracas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardenales de Lara
57.3%

Leones del Caracas
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardenales de Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Leones del Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardenales de Lara than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Caracas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5

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Lineups

Batters
10. Vargas I.	7. Tovar W.
31. Garcia E.	19. Soto L.
5. Ortega R.	13. Perez S.
86. Pinango Y.	37. Corredor A.
22. Bastidas J.	9. Rondon J.
64. Astudillo W.	5. Arcia O.
13. Vasquez D.	31. Arcia O.
20. Sanchez A.	21. Pinto R.
18. Hernandez Y.	56. Espinoza L.
Pitchers
46. Colina R.	63. Manzano M.
Coaches
. Izturis C.	. Alguacil J.

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Winners stage: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardenales de Lara won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leones del Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cardenales de Lara has had a series of home games.

Cardenales de Lara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardenales de Lara won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 133:82. (average 6.7:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardenales de Lara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 67:33. (average 7.4:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Leones del Caracas - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardenales de Lara
Venezuelan LVBP
21.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Cardenales de Lara	4:13 ✺
19.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Navegantes del Magallanes	6:11 ✺
18.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Caribes de Anzoátegui	4:3 ✺
17.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Caribes de Anzoátegui	2:16 ✺
16.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Águilas del Zulia	13:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Leones del Caracas
Venezuelan LVBP
22.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	8:2 ✺
21.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	7:3 ✺
19.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	14:3 ✺
18.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	6:3 ✺
16.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Caribes de Anzoátegui	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
14.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	14:5
13.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	6:7
18.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	1:5
18.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	4:5
31.10.25	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	6:5
13.12.24	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	13:0
12.12.24	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	5:2

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