Match Info

LVBP

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental Simon Bolivar (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Leones del Caracas		Navegantes del Magallanes

	1	2
	1.9	1.82
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
			Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.88)	1.82 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Caracas
49.2%

Navegantes del Magallanes
50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leones del Caracas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Navegantes del Magallanes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Caracas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navegantes del Magallanes than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Lineups

Batters
7. Tovar W.	36. Rodriguez C.
3. Castro H.	78. Velasquez D.
13. Perez S.	87. Alfonzo E.
37. Corredor A.	12. Odor R.
9. Rondon J.	14. Marcano T.
65. Bonaci B.	39. Nunez R.
78. Fermin F.	62. Pineda L.
71. Bericoto V.	20. Herrera O.
5. Arcia O.	82. Suisbel L.
Pitchers
63. Manzano M.	54. Suarez J.
Coaches
. Alguacil J.	. Molina Y.

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Qualification ~ Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 1.

Recent form of Leones del Caracas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Navegantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 110:129. (average 5.5:6.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Caracas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:61. (average 4.6:6.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Leones del Caracas - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Navegantes del Magallanes - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Caracas
Venezuelan LVBP
19.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	14:3 ✺
18.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	6:3 ✺
16.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Caribes de Anzoátegui	8:7 ✺
15.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	14:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- Navegantes del Magallanes
Venezuelan LVBP
19.12.25	Cardenales de Lara - Navegantes del Magallanes	6:11 ✺
18.12.25	Tigres de Aragua - Navegantes del Magallanes	8:3 ✺
17.12.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Tigres de Aragua	6:5 ✺
15.12.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Águilas del Zulia	6:5 ✺
14.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Navegantes del Magallanes	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
10.12.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Leones del Caracas	10:3
05.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	9:7
13.11.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Leones del Caracas	12:9
09.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	4:11
01.11.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Leones del Caracas	5:4
29.10.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	3:4
06.12.24	Navegantes del Magallanes - Leones del Caracas	7:8

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