Match Info

LVBP

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Monumental Simon Bolivar (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Leones del Caracas		Bravos de Margarita

	1	2
	2.2	1.61
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.18)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Caracas
42.5%

Bravos de Margarita
57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leones del Caracas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Bravos de Margarita have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Caracas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bravos de Margarita than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Lineups

Batters
7. Tovar W.	15. Valera B.
19. Soto L.	4. Santana J.
13. Perez S.	2. Amarista A.
37. Corredor A.	10. Garcia W.
9. Rondon J.	31. Flores R.
78. Fermin F.	71. Idrogo C.
5. Arcia O.	37. Arcia F.
31. Arcia O.	22. Martinez J.
56. Espinoza L.	18. Espinoza L.
Pitchers
76. Torres J.	. Miliano M.
Coaches
. Alguacil J.	. Blanco H.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leones del Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bravos de Margarita might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 114:123. (average 5.7:6.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Caracas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 70:63. (average 7:6.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Leones del Caracas - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.54%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Bravos de Margarita - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.46%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Caracas
Venezuelan LVBP
21.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	7:3 ✺
19.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	14:3 ✺
18.12.25	Águilas del Zulia - Leones del Caracas	6:3 ✺
16.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Caribes de Anzoátegui	8:7 ✺
15.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- Bravos de Margarita
Venezuelan LVBP
21.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Caribes de Anzoátegui	7:18 ✺
18.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tiburones de La Guaira	2:9 ✺
17.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Tiburones de La Guaira	9:0 ✺
15.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Bravos de Margarita	9:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
15.12.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	2:3
07.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Leones del Caracas	2:5
06.12.25	Bravos de Margarita - Leones del Caracas	6:5
30.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	8:14
06.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	10:9
17.10.25	Bravos de Margarita - Leones del Caracas	6:13
16.10.25	Bravos de Margarita - Leones del Caracas	6:2

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