Match Info

LMP - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Panamericano de Beisbol (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Charros de Jalisco		Águilas de Mexicali

	1	2
	1.55	2.3
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charros de Jalisco
59.2%

Águilas de Mexicali
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charros de Jalisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Águilas de Mexicali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas de Mexicali than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Jalisco will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
26. Wielansky M.	99. Gotta C.
40. Madris B.	47. Florial E.
3. Gil M.	52. Drake Y.
35. Ornelas T.	37. Calhoun W.
17. Rodriguez R.	11. Mejia A.
18. Osuna A.	61. Gutierrez M.
79. Hollis C.	9. Obeso N.
31. Ornelas J.	7. Jaime M.
15. Chavez S.	42. Wilson A.
Pitchers
92. Payan L.	26. Ponce G.
Coaches
. Gil B.	. Robles O.

Preview

Charros de Jalisco leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 4.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jalisco has had a series of home games.

Jalisco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 87:90. (average 4.4:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalisco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:42. (average 6.1:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
11.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali	5:3 ✺
08.01.26	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	8:5 ✺
05.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	12:3 ✺
04.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	5:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Águilas de Mexicali
LMP
11.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali	5:3 ✺
05.01.26	Águilas de Mexicali - Yaquis de Obregón	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Águilas de Mexicali - Yaquis de Obregón	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Yaquis de Obregón - Águilas de Mexicali	8:10 ✺
01.01.26	Yaquis de Obregón - Águilas de Mexicali	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
11.01.26	Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali	5:3
30.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Charros de Jalisco	8:1
29.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Charros de Jalisco	3:4
28.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Charros de Jalisco	2:5
27.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali	3:1
26.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali	2:9
25.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Águilas de Mexicali	6:7

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