Match Info
LMP - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 6 January 2026, TuesdayLocation: Estadio Panamericano de Beisbol (Zapopan)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Mexico | LMP Canal Youtube, TVC Deportes 2 |
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Charros de Jalisco |
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Naranjeros de Hermosillo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.6 |
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2.2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.62 |
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2.2 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.62 |
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2.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.67) |
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2.18 ↑
(2.08) |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Charros de Jalisco
57.5% | Naranjeros de Hermosillo
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charros de Jalisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Naranjeros de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (+1.9%) 
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Lineups
| Pitchers |
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54.  Rodriguez L. I.
| 2. Rios W.
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| Coaches |
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. Gil B.
| . Castro J.
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Preview
Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 119:92. (average 6:4.6).Including home matches between the teams, Jalisco won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 86:49. (average 7.8:4.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Naranjeros de Hermosillo - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| LMP | | | 05.01.26 | Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo | 12:3 | | 04.01.26 | Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo | 5:9 | | 02.01.26 | Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco | 12:0 | | 01.01.26 | Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco | 5:6 | | 07.12.25 | Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco | 5:3 | | 06.12.25 | Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco | 8:7 | | 05.12.25 | Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco | 2:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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