Match Info

LMP

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Panamericano de Beisbol (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Charros de Jalisco		Venados de Mazatlán

	1	2
	1.55	2.3
	1.58	2.38
			Watch
	1.53	2.38
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.56)	2.33 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charros de Jalisco
59.9%

Venados de Mazatlán
40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Charros de Jalisco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Venados de Mazatlán have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
6. Hamilton B.	25. Macias F.
40. Madris B.	79. German L.
26. Wielansky M.	19. Pena . R.
35. Ornelas T.	53. Espinal E.
59. Serna J.	29. Lamas K.
31. Ornelas J.	51. Simington M.
96. Hollis C.	3. Alvarez A.
17. Rodriguez R.	41. Gaitan J.
7. Nevarez D.	15. Kirk J.
Pitchers
54. Rodriguez L. I.	67. Torres E.
Coaches
. Gil B.	. Alvarez G.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 4.

Jalisco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Venados has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jalisco could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 109:95. (average 5.5:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalisco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 63:56. (average 7:6.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Charros de Jalisco - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.91%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Venados de Mazatlán - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.09%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
03.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	11:9 ✺
02.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	5:3 ✺
30.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Charros de Jalisco	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Charros de Jalisco	14:2 ✺
28.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Charros de Jalisco	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL
- Venados de Mazatlán Baseball
LMP
03.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	11:9 ✺
02.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	5:3 ✺
30.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	4:5 ✺
29.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	7:1 ✺
28.11.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
03.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	11:9
02.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	5:3
30.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	7:13
29.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	6:5
28.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Charros de Jalisco	4:7
19.12.24	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	6:7
18.12.24	Charros de Jalisco - Venados de Mazatlán	4:0

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