Match Info

LMP

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Panamericano de Beisbol (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Charros de Jalisco		Yaquis de Obregón

	1	2
	1.76	2.06
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
			Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.79)	1.96 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charros de Jalisco
52.3%

Yaquis de Obregón
47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Charros de Jalisco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Yaquis de Obregón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaquis de Obregón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Lineups

Batters
6. Hamilton B.	13. Cordoba A.
26. Wielansky M.	10. Elizalde S.
40. Madris B.	30. Valenzuela R.
3. Gil M.	25. Mendoza V.
31. Ornelas J.	47. Gamboa J.
79. Hollis C.	41. Gaitan J.
17. Rodriguez R.	32. Unroe R.
49. Amador J.	15. Chavez S.
7. Nevarez D.	23. Villavicencio K.
Pitchers
13. Banuelos M.	56. Lara O.
Coaches
. Gil B.	. Alvarez G.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalisco won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 86:101. (average 4.3:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalisco won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 60:58. (average 5.5:5.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Charros de Jalisco - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.27%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Yaquis de Obregón - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.73%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
10.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Yaquis de Obregón	7:8 ✺
09.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Yaquis de Obregón	6:2 ✺
07.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	5:3 ✺
06.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	8:7 ✺
05.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLW
- Yaquis de Obregón
LMP
10.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Yaquis de Obregón	7:8 ✺
09.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Yaquis de Obregón	6:2 ✺
07.12.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Tomateros de Culiacán	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Tomateros de Culiacán	3:6 ✺
05.12.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Tomateros de Culiacán	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
10.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Yaquis de Obregón	7:8
09.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Yaquis de Obregón	6:2
06.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Charros de Jalisco	2:0
05.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Charros de Jalisco	6:5
04.11.25	Yaquis de Obregón - Charros de Jalisco	8:6
22.12.24	Yaquis de Obregón - Charros de Jalisco	5:1
21.12.24	Yaquis de Obregón - Charros de Jalisco	9:3

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