Match Info

WORLD: WBSC Premier 12 - Winners stage

Date: 21 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Tokyo Dome (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	DAZN USA


	Japan		USA

	1	2
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.38	2.9
	1.45	2.86
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.73
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
66.9%

USA
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Japan - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). USA will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
10. Kuwahara M.	6. Simpson C.
51. Kozono K.	1. Shaw M.
8. Tatsumi R.	11. Ritter L.
1. Morishita S.	10. Ward R.
23. Kurihara R.	7. Williams C.
2. Maki S.	9. Thomas C.
6. Genda S.	2. Johnson T.
7. Sano K.	28. Okey C.
31. Sakakura S.	22. Crawford J.
Pitchers
19. Takahashi H.	26. Hill R.
Coaches
. Ibata H.	. Scioscia M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 4.

Japan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches USA is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

USA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Japan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Japan won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 38:27 (average 4.8:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan baseball
WBSC Premier 12
18.11.24	Dominican Republic - Japan	3:11 ✺
17.11.24	Japan - Cuba	7:6 ✺
16.11.24	Chinese Taipei - Japan	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Japan - South Korea	6:3 ✺
13.11.24	Japan - Australia	9:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- USA baseball
WBSC Premier 12
14.11.24	Mexico - USA	2:12 ✺
12.11.24	USA - Panama	9:3 ✺
11.11.24	Venezuela - USA	5:3 ✺
10.11.24	USA - Netherlands	12:2 ✺
09.11.24	USA - Puerto Rico	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Baseball
19.07.24	Japan - USA	10:4
World Baseball Classic
21.03.23	Japan - USA	3:2
Olympic Games - Baseball
07.08.21	Japan - USA	2:0
02.08.21	USA - Japan	6:7
WBSC Premier 12
12.11.19	Japan - USA	3:4
Friendly International Baseball
16.07.19	Japan - USA	2:7
World Baseball Classic
21.03.17	Japan - USA	1:2

Japan - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide