Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hungary	Sport 2
Japan	Netflix
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Sports Plus
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports Extra
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox
Venezuela	Beisbol Play, Disney+, Venevision Play, Venevision


	Japan		Venezuela

	1	2
	1.56	2.5
	1.52	2.6
	1.54	2.58
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.57	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	2.55 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
62.3%

Venezuela
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Japan - Venezuela Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Venezuela will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezuela: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezuela will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
16. Ohtani S.	21. Acuna Jr. R.
7. Sato T.	11. Garcia M.
51. Suzuki S.	2. Arraez L.
34. Yoshida M.	7. Suarez E.
25. Okamoto K.	14. Tovar E.
55. Murakami M.	25. Torres G.
2. Maki S.	16. Abreu W.
6. Genda S.	. Pereira S.
4. Wakatsuki K.	1. Chourio J.
Pitchers
18. Yamamoto Y.	55. Suarez R.
Coaches
. Ibata H.	. Lopez O.

Preview

In recent matches, Venezuela has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Japan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Japan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Japan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 7.7:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan baseball
World Baseball Classic
10.03.26	Japan - Czech Republic	9:0 ✺
08.03.26	Japan - Australia	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	Japan - South Korea	8:6 ✺
06.03.26	Chinese Taipei - Japan	0:13 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
16.11.25	South Korea - Japan	7:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWT
- Venezuela baseball
World Baseball Classic
11.03.26	Venezuela - Dominican Republic	5:7 ✺
09.03.26	Nicaragua - Venezuela	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Venezuela - Israel	11:3 ✺
06.03.26	Venezuela - Netherlands	6:2 ✺
Friendly International Baseball
03.03.26	Houston Astros - Venezuela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WBSC Premier 12
22.11.24	Japan - Venezuela	9:6
05.11.19	Japan - Venezuela	8:4
15.11.15	Japan - Venezuela	6:5

Japan - Venezuela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide