Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	FOX One
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One


	Dominican Republic		USA

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	2.05	1.8
	2	1.85
	2	1.85
			Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.31)	1.83 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominican Republic
47.8%

USA
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominican Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominican Republic's performance.

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominican Republic than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Dominican Republic - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dominican Rep will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). USA will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dominican Rep: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dominican Rep (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.	7. Witt B.
4. Marte K.	24. Harper B.
22. Soto J.	99. Judge A.
27. Guerrero Jr. V.	12. Schwarber K.
3. Machado M.	11. Henderson G.
13. Caminero J.	16. Smith W.
44. Rodriguez J.	3. Anthony R.
28. Wells A.	13. Turang B.
2. Perdomo G.	4. Crow-Armstrong P.
Pitchers
40. Severino L.	30. Skenes P.
Coaches
. Pujols A.	. DeRosa M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dominican Rep won 1.

Dominican Rep has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

USA is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dominican Rep won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:48. (average 4.9:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominican Republic baseball
World Baseball Classic
13.03.26	Dominican Republic - South Korea	10:0 ✺
11.03.26	Venezuela - Dominican Republic	5:7 ✺
09.03.26	Israel - Dominican Republic	1:10 ✺
08.03.26	Dominican Republic - Netherlands	12:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dominican Republic - Nicaragua	12:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- USA baseball
World Baseball Classic
13.03.26	Canada - USA	3:5 ✺
10.03.26	USA - Italy	6:8 ✺
09.03.26	USA - Mexico	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	USA - Great Britain	9:1 ✺
06.03.26	Brazil - USA	5:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Baseball
03.08.21	USA - Dominican Republic	3:1
01.06.21	USA - Dominican Republic	8:6
WBSC Premier 12
04.11.19	Dominican Republic - USA	8:10
World Baseball Classic
18.03.17	Dominican Republic - USA	3:6
11.03.17	Dominican Republic - USA	7:5
WBSC Premier 12
10.11.15	USA - Dominican Republic	11:5
Pan American Games Baseball
16.07.15	USA - Dominican Republic	4:6

Dominican Republic - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide