The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 61.4%
Saitama Seibu Lions 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Saitama Seibu Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saitama Seibu Lions than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters - Saitama Seibu Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
7. Nishikawa H.
25. Canario A.
3. Gunji Y.
62. Takizawa N.
21. Kiyomiya K.
10. Kojima T.
5. Nomura Y.
26. Nevin T.
66. Mannami C.
8. Watanabe S.
43. Mizuno T.
63. Hasegawa S.
53. Mizutani S.
39. Hirasawa T.
33. Shinto Y.
22. Koga Y.
54. Yamagata S.
6. Genda S.
Pitchers
16. Tatsu K.
71. Sugai S.
Coaches
. Shinjo T.
. Nishiguchi F.
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 3.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Saitama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of away games.
Hokkaido might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 77:59. (average 3.9:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hokkaido won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 2.8:3.8).
Outrights of NPB for now
Nippon Ham Fighters: 6% Seibu Lions: 5.9%
Last Results with these Odds
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.74%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Saitama Seibu Lions - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Nishikawa H. 
Canario A. 
Nevin T. 
Yamagata S. 
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