The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saitama Seibu Lions 52.9%
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
48.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saitama Seibu Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saitama Seibu Lions than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Saitama Seibu Lions - Hokkaido Nippon Ham Fighters Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:6
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Lineups
Batters
25. Canario A.
39. Arizono N.
62. Takizawa N.
58. Narama T.
10. Kojima T.
21. Kiyomiya K.
26. Nevin T.
3. Gunji Y.
63. Hasegawa S.
99. Reyes F.
39. Hirasawa T.
66. Mannami C.
5. Tonosaki S.
5. Nomura Y.
6. Genda S.
33. Shinto Y.
8. Watanabe S.
54. Yamagata S.
Pitchers
21. Takeuchi N.
17. Itoh H.
Coaches
. Nishiguchi F.
. Shinjo T.
Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - NPB Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - NPB Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saitama won 1.
Saitama is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Hokkaido have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Saitama may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hokkaido has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saitama has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:78 (averaging 2.9:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saitama against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 24:49 goals (averaging 2.2:4.5 per game).
Outrights of NPB for now
Nippon Ham Fighters: 6% Seibu Lions: 5.9%
Last Results with these Odds
Saitama Seibu Lions - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.3%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.7%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Canario A. 
Arizono N. 
Nevin T. 
Yamagata S. 
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