The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Indios de Guantánamo 32.8%
Avispas de Santiago de Cuba 67.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.9%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
62.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indios de Guantánamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Avispas de Santiago de Cuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indios de Guantánamo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispas de Santiago de Cuba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Indios de Guantánamo - Avispas de Santiago de Cuba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:8
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Serie Nacional Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guantánamo won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Guantánamo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guantánamo has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 108:188 (averaging 5.4:9.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guantánamo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 58:82 goals (averaging 5.8:8.2 per game).