Match Info

LMP

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Coloso del Pacifico (Tepic)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Jaguares de Nayarit		Naranjeros de Hermosillo

	1	2
	2.15	1.62
	2.19	1.68
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
			Watch
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Nayarit
43.9%

Naranjeros de Hermosillo
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Nayarit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Naranjeros de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Nayarit than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Lineups

Batters
29. Felix J.	0. Tolentino M.
2. Romero R.	33. Cardona J.
3. Acuna F. F.	77. Garcia E.
74. Zavala A.	25. Lott T.
5. Vasquez N.	51. Salazar C.
28. Valenzuela R.	43. Ramirez H.
50. Rhinesmith J.	37. Calhoun W.
92. Villarreal B.	7. Atondo J.
8. Sepulveda C.	74. Ramirez A.
Pitchers
13. Dugger R.	26. Cruz O.
Coaches
. Rivera L.	. Castro J.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ))

Jaguares is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Naranjeros's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 4.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Naranjeros de Hermosillo - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.91%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Nayarit
LMP
17.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:8 ✺
13.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	4:10 ✺
12.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Naranjeros de Hermosillo
LMP
17.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	3:2 ✺
16.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Águilas de Mexicali	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Águilas de Mexicali	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Águilas de Mexicali	8:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
17.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	3:2
16.12.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Naranjeros de Hermosillo	1:4
13.11.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Jaguares de Nayarit	2:1
12.11.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Jaguares de Nayarit	3:10
11.11.25	Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:6

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