Match Info

LMP

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Teodoro Mariscal (Mazatlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Venados de Mazatlán		Jaguares de Nayarit

	1	2
	2.35	1.52
	2.41	1.57
			Watch
	2.38	1.53
			Watch
	2.35	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.36)	1.54 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados de Mazatlán
39.3%

Jaguares de Nayarit
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados de Mazatlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jaguares de Nayarit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados de Mazatlán than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Nayarit than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Venados (5.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venados (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
51. Simington M.	8. Sepulveda C.
79. German L.	92. Villarreal B.
19. Pena . R.	50. Rhinesmith J.
30. Urena E.	28. Valenzuela R.
53. Espinal E.	74. Zavala A.
47. Tirado C.	3. Acuna F. F.
3. Alvarez A.	62. Santos L.
43. Guzman M.	2. Romero R.
44. Escarrega C.	29. Felix J.
Pitchers
45. Kingham N.	44. Rhoades J.
Coaches
. Alvarez G.	. Rivera L.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.

Venados is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Jaguares has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Jaguares has had a series of away games.

Jaguares is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 3.9:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 1.7:6.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Venados de Mazatlán - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados de Mazatlán Baseball
LMP
13.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	4:10 ✺
12.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	1:7 ✺
11.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	3:2 ✺
10.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	1:3 ✺
09.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Venados de Mazatlán	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Jaguares de Nayarit
LMP
13.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	4:10 ✺
12.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	1:7 ✺
11.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	8:2 ✺
10.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	7:10 ✺
09.12.25	Tucson - Jaguares de Nayarit	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

LMP
13.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	4:10
12.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	1:7
09.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Venados de Mazatlán	2:0
08.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Venados de Mazatlán	5:8
07.11.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Venados de Mazatlán	6:8
16.10.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Jaguares de Nayarit	0:2
15.10.25	Jaguares de Nayarit - Venados de Mazatlán	4:6

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