Match Info

KBO

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Gwangju Kia Champions Field (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Tving
World	SOOP


	KIA Tigers		Doosan Bears

	1	2
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.95	1.80
	2	1.82
	2.05	1.82
			Watch
	2	1.78
	2.06	1.86	Watch
	1.96	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KIA Tigers
47.4%

Doosan Bears
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KIA Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Doosan Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KIA Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doosan Bears than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
15. Park Jae-hyun	32. Kim Dae-Han
3. Kim Sun-Bin	31. Jung Soo-Bin
5. Kim Do-Yeong	52. Park J.
26. Castro H.	62. An Jae-Seok
47. Na Sung-Bum	2. Kim M.
30. Ha Ju-Suk	7. Park Chan-Ho
27. Kim Ho-Ryung	51. Jo Soo-Haeng
42. Kim Tae-Gun	37. Park J.
1. Park Jung-Woo	27. Yun J.
Pitchers
33. Oller A.	47. Gwak Been
Coaches
. Lee Bum-Ho	. Kim Won-Hyong

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KBO (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KBO (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigers won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Tigers has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigers won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 85:83. (average 4.3:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:40. (average 3.4:4.4).

Outrights of KBO for now

KIA Tigers: 12.3% Doosan Bears: 3.35%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		PCT
3	KIA Tigers	144	79	2	63	769:664	0.556
5	Doosan Bears	144	73	5	66	688:630	0.525

Last Results with these Odds

Doosan Bears - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KIA Tigers
KBO
15.08.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	6:1 ✺
14.08.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	4:10 ✺
13.08.26	KIA Tigers - Samsung Lions	8:9 ✺
12.08.26	KIA Tigers - Samsung Lions	7:2 ✺
11.08.26	KIA Tigers - Samsung Lions	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- Doosan Bears
KBO
15.08.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	6:1 ✺
14.08.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	4:10 ✺
13.08.26	Doosan Bears - Hanwha Eagles	9:6 ✺
12.08.26	Doosan Bears - Hanwha Eagles	3:4 ✺
11.08.26	Doosan Bears - Hanwha Eagles	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KBO
15.08.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	6:1
14.08.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	4:10
28.06.26	Doosan Bears - KIA Tigers	1:12
27.06.26	Doosan Bears - KIA Tigers	8:1
26.06.26	Doosan Bears - KIA Tigers	3:2
14.06.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	1:8
13.06.26	KIA Tigers - Doosan Bears	2:1

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