Match Info

LVBP

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Simon Bolivar (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Leones del Caracas		Cardenales de Lara

	1	X	2
	1.8		1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)		1.9 ↓ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Caracas
51.4%

Cardenales de Lara
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cardenales de Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Caracas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardenales de Lara than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Lineups

Batters
3. Castro H.	10. Vargas I.
50. Sosa L.	2. Acuna L.
22. Daza Y.	26. Pereira E.
37. Corredor A.	3. Vasquez D.
61. Cedeno L.	50. Quero J.
89. Pereda J.	20. Sanchez A.
31. Arcia O.	5. Ortega R.
7. Tovar W.	31. Garcia E.
65. Bonaci B.	66. Flores J.
Pitchers
76. Torres J.	43. Castillo M.
Coaches
. Alguacil J.	. Izturis C.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Qualification ~ Winners stage: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cardenales de Lara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cardenales de Lara has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones del Caracas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 90:118. (average 4.5:5.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Caracas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 61:61. (average 5.5:5.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Leones del Caracas - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Cardenales de Lara - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Caracas
Venezuelan LVBP
16.11.25	Tigres de Aragua - Leones del Caracas	5:0 ✺
13.11.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Leones del Caracas	12:9 ✺
09.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Navegantes del Magallanes	4:11 ✺
06.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	10:9 ✺
05.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Tigres de Aragua	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Cardenales de Lara
Venezuelan LVBP
16.11.25	Navegantes del Magallanes - Cardenales de Lara	5:4 ✺
14.11.25	Cardenales de Lara - Bravos de Margarita	2:7 ✺
13.11.25	Cardenales de Lara - Tigres de Aragua	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Cardenales de Lara - Águilas del Zulia	3:6 ✺
08.11.25	Cardenales de Lara - Bravos de Margarita	9:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
31.10.25	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	6:5
13.12.24	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	13:0
12.12.24	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	5:2
30.11.24	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	2:0
29.11.24	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	8:7
29.11.24	Cardenales de Lara - Leones del Caracas	5:2
15.11.24	Leones del Caracas - Cardenales de Lara	1:8

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