The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leñadores de Las Tunas 62.9%
Toros de Camagüey 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.3%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leñadores de Las Tunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Toros de Camagüey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leñadores de Las Tunas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros de Camagüey than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Leñadores de Las Tunas - Toros de Camagüey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:6
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie Nacional Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Tunas won 3.
Las Tunas is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Camagüey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Las Tunas has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 128:110 (averaging 6.4:5.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Las Tunas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 61:52 goals (averaging 6.1:5.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Leñadores de Las Tunas - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.33%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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