Match Info

KBO

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Changwon NC Park (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Tving
World	SOOP


	NC Dinos		Samsung Lions

	1	2
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.74
	2.05	1.78
	2.13	1.76
			Watch
	2.1	1.74
	2.11	1.81	Watch
	2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)	1.76 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NC Dinos
46%

Samsung Lions
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NC Dinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Samsung Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NC Dinos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsung Lions than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

NC Dinos - Samsung Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
7. Kim Ju-Won	58. Kim Ji-Chan
14. Choi J.	5. Koo Ja-Wook
2. Park Min-Woo	34. Choi Hyoung-Woo
44. Kim Whee-Jip	0. Diaz L.
50. Crim B.	16. Ryu Ji-Hyuk
55. Lee Woo-Sung	30. Kim Young-Woong
23. Cheon Jae-Hwan	25. Kim Tae-Hoon
25. Kim H.	47. Kang Min-Ho
10. Hong Jong-Pyo	9. Park Gye-Beom
Pitchers
3. Thompson R.	59. Paddack C. J.
Coaches
. Lee H.	. Park Jin-Man

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KBO (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinos won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Dinos has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinos won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 95:116. (average 4.8:5.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 60:75. (average 5:6.3).

Outrights of KBO for now

Samsung Lions: 22.93%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		PCT
2	Samsung Lions	144	83	3	58	806:669	0.589
7	NC Dinos	144	64	2	78	719:772	0.451

Last Results with these Odds

NC Dinos - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.08%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Samsung Lions - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.92%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NC Dinos
KBO
22.08.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	6:8 ✺
21.08.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	3:2 ✺
20.08.26	NC Dinos - Doosan Bears	5:4 ✺
19.08.26	NC Dinos - Doosan Bears	2:8 ✺
18.08.26	NC Dinos - Doosan Bears	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- Samsung Lions
KBO
22.08.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	6:8 ✺
21.08.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	3:2 ✺
20.08.26	Samsung Lions - SSG Landers	4:6 ✺
19.08.26	Samsung Lions - SSG Landers	18:4 ✺
18.08.26	Samsung Lions - SSG Landers	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KBO
22.08.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	6:8
21.08.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	3:2
02.07.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	1:6
01.07.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	10:5
30.06.26	NC Dinos - Samsung Lions	7:13
04.06.26	Samsung Lions - NC Dinos	3:6
03.06.26	Samsung Lions - NC Dinos	4:6

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