Match Info

KBO

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Location: Daegu Samsung Lions Park (Daegu)


	Samsung Lions		Doosan Bears

	1	2
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.72	2.15
	1.73	2.17
			Watch
	1.69	2.12
	1.76	2.19	Watch
	1.68	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsung Lions
55.7%

Doosan Bears
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsung Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Doosan Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsung Lions than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doosan Bears than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bears will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6

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Lineups

Batters
58. Kim Ji-Chan	7. Park Chan-Ho
32. Kim Hun-Gon	62. An Jae-Seok
7. Lee Jae-Hyeon	2. Kim M.
0. Diaz L.	25. Yang Eui-Ji
68. Park Yong-Jae	36. Severino Y.
61. Jeon B.	23. Kang Seung-Ho
39. Kim Seong-Yoon	53. Yang Suk-Hwan
47. Kang Min-Ho	31. Jung Soo-Bin
9. Park Gye-Beom	32. Kim Dae-Han
Pitchers
75. Jurado A.	39. Logue Z.
Coaches
. Park Jin-Man	. Kim Won-Hyong

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KBO (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KBO (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2.

Lions is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bears is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bears may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lions won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 127:101. (average 6.4:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 59:42. (average 8.4:6).

Outrights of KBO for now

Samsung Lions: 22.93% Doosan Bears: 3.35%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		PCT
2	Samsung Lions	143	83	3	57	804:665	0.593
5	Doosan Bears	143	73	5	65	684:623	0.529

Last Results with these Odds

Samsung Lions - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.57%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsung Lions
KBO
04.10.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	0:12 ✺
03.10.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	6:4 ✺
01.10.26	Samsung Lions - Hanwha Eagles	3:2 ✺
30.09.26	Samsung Lions - Hanwha Eagles	6:2 ✺
29.09.26	Samsung Lions - Hanwha Eagles	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Doosan Bears
KBO
04.10.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	0:12 ✺
03.10.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	6:4 ✺
01.10.26	Doosan Bears - NC Dinos	9:7 ✺
30.09.26	Doosan Bears - NC Dinos	6:5 ✺
29.09.26	Doosan Bears - NC Dinos	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KBO
04.10.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	0:12
03.10.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	6:4
16.09.26	Doosan Bears - Samsung Lions	3:1
26.07.26	Doosan Bears - Samsung Lions	7:0
25.07.26	Doosan Bears - Samsung Lions	1:4
24.07.26	Doosan Bears - Samsung Lions	4:15
31.05.26	Samsung Lions - Doosan Bears	7:8

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