Match Info

MLB - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
France	beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Japan	J sports 3
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Peru	ESPN 3
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Cleveland Guardians

	1	2
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.40
	1.60	2.38
	1.62	2.48
			Watch
	1.60	2.45
	1.63	2.46
	1.58	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
60.2%

Cleveland Guardians
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cleveland Guardians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - TB Rays (1.60) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:-1

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cleveland has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cleveland may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tampa Bay is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:44 (averaging 2.8:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:21 goals (averaging 2.9:2.1 per game).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.25% Cleveland Guardians: 12.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
07.10.26	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	3:4 ✺
05.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	7:3 ✺
26.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	1:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW
- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
10.10.26	Cleveland Guardians - Chicago White Sox	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Chicago White Sox - Cleveland Guardians	5:9 ✺
07.10.26	Chicago White Sox - Cleveland Guardians	3:9 ✺
05.10.26	Cleveland Guardians - Chicago White Sox	3:4 ✺
03.10.26	Cleveland Guardians - Chicago White Sox	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
26.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	1:0
25.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	3:0
24.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	11:3
29.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays	3:1
28.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays	0:1
27.04.26	Cleveland Guardians - Tampa Bay Rays	2:3
07.09.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians	1:2

Tampa Bay Rays - Cleveland Guardians: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide