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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies 60.7%
Tampa Bay Rays 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Phillies's performance.
Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rays might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Phillies that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rays could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2
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Lineups
Batters
7. Turner T.
25. Mesa V.
12. Schwarber K.
8. Aranda J.
3. Harper B.
13. Caminero J.
5. Stott B.
34. Hicks L.
28. Bohm A.
1. Palacios R.
16. Marsh B.
21. Deluca J.
33. Sosa E.
31. Mullins C.
2. Crawford J.
40. Fortes N.
10. Realmuto J.T.
9. Mateo J.
Pitchers
45. Wheeler Z.
28. Martinez N.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.
. Cash K.
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 1st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
Philadelphia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tampa Bay has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Philadelphia has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 88:82 (averaging 4.4:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Philadelphia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 43:53 goals (averaging 3.9:4.8 per game).
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Turner T. 
Mesa V. 
Aranda J. 
Caminero J. 
Hicks L. 
Palacios R. 
Sosa E. 
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