Match Info

MLB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Australia	ESPN 2
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Japan	J sports 3
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	ESPN 3
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Venezuela	ESPN 3
World	MLB.TV


	New York Yankees		Tampa Bay Rays

	1	2
	1.53	2.42	Watch
	1.59	2.40
	1.58	2.37
	1.63	2.47
			Watch
	1.61	2.45
	1.64	2.43	Watch
	1.58	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	2.42 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

New York Yankees
60.3%

Tampa Bay Rays
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Yankees has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. NY Yankees will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Yankees: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Yankees (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - NY Yankees (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7, OT - under (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Yankees (votes: 3 - 75%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

#ad

Lineups

Batters
12. Grisham T.	2. Diaz Y.
22. Rice B.	8. Aranda J.
26. Garcia L.	13. Caminero J.
35. Bellinger C.	25. Mesa V.
96. Lombard Jr. G.	26. Vilade R.
28. Wells A.	34. Hicks L.
11. Volpe A.	21. Deluca J.
78. Jones S.	1. Palacios R.
72. Caballero J.	6. Walls T.
Pitchers
54. Fried M.	28. Martinez N.
Coaches
. Boone A.	. Cash K.

Preview

Tampa Bay Rays leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 2.

In recent outings, NY Yankees has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tampa Bay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with NY Yankees holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Yankees has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 88:64 (averaging 4.4:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for NY Yankees against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:20 goals (averaging 4:2.5 per game).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 23.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Yankees
MLB
05.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox	9:2 ✺
29.09.26	New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox	9:0 ✺
27.09.26	New York Yankees - Baltimore Orioles	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWW?
- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
05.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:2 ✺
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	7:3 ✺
26.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	1:12 ✺
25.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
05.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	5:2
03.10.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	1:0
24.09.26	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	6:4
23.09.26	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	9:2
22.09.26	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	1:6
22.09.26	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	2:0
09.07.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	4:12

New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide