Match Info

MLB

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: George M. Steinbrenner (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.73
	2.3	1.65
	2.36	1.67
	2.27	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.22	1.71	Watch
	2.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
42.6%

Philadelphia Phillies
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rays, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Phillies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	5. Stott B.
24. Morel C.	7. Turner T.
13. Caminero J.	3. Harper B.
62. Aranda J.	12. Schwarber K.
19. Jansen D.	8. Castellanos N.
25. Mead C.	17. Kepler M.
77. Caballero J.	10. Realmuto J.T.
26. Misner K.	28. Bohm A.
6. Walls T.	16. Marsh B.
Pitchers
44. Pepiot R.	44. Luzardo J.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Thomson R.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - George M. Steinbrenner.

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Philadelphia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Bigge H. (Back Injury) Deluca J. (Shoulder Injury) Faedo A. (Shoulder Injury) Hernandez J. (Inactive) Kim Ha-Seong (Shoulder Injury) Lowe J. (Abdominal strain) Mangum J. (Groin Injury) McClanahan S. (Muscle Injury) Palacios R. (Finger Injury) Wantz A. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Ruiz J. (Neck Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 78:91. (average 3.9:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:49. (average 3.1:4.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
07.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	0:7 ✺
06.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	4:8 ✺
04.05.25	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	5:7 ✺
03.05.25	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	2:3 ✺
02.05.25	New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Rays	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
07.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	0:7 ✺
06.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	4:8 ✺
04.05.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks	9:11 ✺
03.05.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks	7:2 ✺
02.05.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
07.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	0:7
06.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	4:8
MLB Spring Training
24.03.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	8:6
06.03.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	4:5
25.02.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Philadelphia Phillies	4:5
MLB
11.09.24	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	3:2
10.09.24	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	9:4

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