Match Info

LVBP

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Universitario (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Venezuela	Beisbol Play


	Tiburones de La Guaira		Leones del Caracas

	1	2
	1.69	2.06
	1.73	2
			Watch
	1.71	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiburones de La Guaira
54.2%

Leones del Caracas
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiburones de La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Leones del Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiburones de La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Caracas (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Batters
13. Acuna Jr. R.	7. Tovar W.
11. Garcia M.	3. Castro H.
41. Montano D.	50. Sosa L.
1. Barreto F.	37. Corredor A.
2. Escobar A.	22. Daza Y.
26. Solarte Y.	65. Bonaci B.
12. Querecuto J.	61. Cedeno L.
20. Rivero S.	31. Arcia O.
6. Arias G.	89. Pereda J.
Pitchers
37. Grotz Z.	80. Font W.
Coaches
. Davalillo M.	. Alguacil J.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LVBP (Qualification ~ Winners stage: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiburones won 3.

Tiburones is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leones del Caracas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiburones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tiburones won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 125:114. (average 6.3:5.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tiburones won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:48. (average 5.2:5.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Tiburones de La Guaira - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.93%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Leones del Caracas - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.07%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiburones de La Guaira
Venezuelan LVBP
29.11.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	5:3 ✺
28.11.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Tigres de Aragua	11:0 ✺
27.11.25	Cardenales de Lara - Tiburones de La Guaira	9:12 ✺
26.11.25	Águilas del Zulia - Tiburones de La Guaira	4:7 ✺
25.11.25	Águilas del Zulia - Tiburones de La Guaira	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Leones del Caracas
Venezuelan LVBP
30.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Bravos de Margarita	8:14 ✺
29.11.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	5:3 ✺
28.11.25	Caribes de Anzoátegui - Leones del Caracas	8:13 ✺
27.11.25	Caribes de Anzoátegui - Leones del Caracas	8:7 ✺
26.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Tigres de Aragua	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan LVBP
29.11.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	5:3
23.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	7:9
19.11.25	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	9:4
30.10.25	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	6:10
24.10.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	3:5
21.10.25	Tiburones de La Guaira - Leones del Caracas	6:5
22.12.24	Leones del Caracas - Tiburones de La Guaira	9:8

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