Match Info
NPBDate: 3 October 2026, SaturdayLocation: Meiji Jingu Stadium (Tokyo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | SKY PerfecTV! |
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Tokyo Yakult Swallows |
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Chunichi Dragons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
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1.67 |
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 |
2.05 |
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1.75 |
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2.05 |
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1.78 |
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 |
2.17 |
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1.76 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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2.12 |
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1.72 |
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2.11 |
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1.78 |
Watch |
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2.06 |
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1.71 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.04) |
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1.74 ↓
(1.78) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
45.4% | Chunichi Dragons
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Yakult Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Chunichi Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chunichi Dragons than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Chunichi will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4 
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Lineups
| Pitchers |
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15.  Nakamura Y.
| 17. Yanagi Y.
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| Coaches |
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. Ikeyama T.
| . Inoue K.
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Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 5)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 0.Tokyo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Chunichi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:83. (average 2.5:4.2).Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 2.9:4).
Outrights of NPB for now
Yakult Swallows: 4.95% Chunichi Dragons: 1.79%
Last Results with these Odds
Chunichi Dragons - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NPB | | | 26.09.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons | 5:3 | | 25.09.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons | 5:4 | | 12.09.26 | Chunichi Dragons - Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 5:6 | | 05.09.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons | 4:8 | | 04.09.26 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons | 1:1 | | 23.08.26 | Chunichi Dragons - Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 3:2 | | 22.08.26 | Chunichi Dragons - Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 5:4 |
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