Match Info

LMP

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tomateros (Culiacán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Tomateros de Culiacán		Águilas de Mexicali

	1	2
	1.65	2.1
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomateros de Culiacán
56.9%

Águilas de Mexicali
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomateros de Culiacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Águilas de Mexicali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Tomateros de Culiacán aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Águilas de Mexicali aligns with the current prediction.

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Lineups

Batters
55. Pablo	47. Florial E.
8. Rios R.	7. Jaime M.
6. Smith D. Jr.	52. Drake Y.
32. Meneses J.	22. Read R.
10. Martinez O.	11. Mejia A.
88. Villegas F.	61. Gutierrez M.
12. Verdugo L.	2. Bernard W.
3. Arias D.	43. Tachioka R.
26. Ruiz I.	73. Vizcarra G.
Pitchers
29. Del Bonta-Smith F.	45. Vargas C.
Coaches
. Amezaga A.	. Robles O.

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomateros won 4.

Tomateros is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Águilas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tomateros will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tomateros won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 83:74. (average 4.2:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomateros won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 52:48. (average 4:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Águilas de Mexicali - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.78%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomateros de Culiacán
LMP
26.12.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	4:1 ✺
23.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	0:3 ✺
23.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Venados de Mazatlán - Tomateros de Culiacán	4:9 ✺
21.12.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Algodoneros de Guasave	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Águilas de Mexicali
LMP
26.12.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	4:1 ✺
23.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Tucson	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Tucson	3:4 ✺
22.12.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Tucson	1:5 ✺
21.12.25	Cañeros de Los Mochis - Águilas de Mexicali	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
26.12.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	4:1
23.11.25	Águilas de Mexicali - Tomateros de Culiacán	2:4
19.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	4:2
18.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	3:6
17.10.25	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	3:2
12.12.24	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	7:6
11.12.24	Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali	7:3

Tomateros de Culiacán - Águilas de Mexicali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide