The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toros de Tijuana 56.5%
Caliente de Durango 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros de Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Caliente de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros de Tijuana than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Toros de Tijuana - Caliente de Durango Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2
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Lineups
Batters
27. Lake J.
2. Villar J.
14. Perez H.
50. Hernandez E.
38. Cordero F.
7. Johnson D.
64. Rodriguez A.
17. Rodriguez R.
41. Flores W.
25. Mejia A.
26. Barrel
10. Florial E.
5. Ortega R.
9. Chavez J.
7. Guzman J.
44. Leon J.
12. Burruel S.
16. Marquez V.
Pitchers
11. Hillman J.
40. Despaigne O.
Coaches
. Kelly R.
. Robles O.
Preview
1 extra inning played.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LMB (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros de Tijuana won 3.
Recent performances by Toros de Tijuana have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Caliente de Durango is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Caliente de Durango may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toros de Tijuana has had a series of away games.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros de Tijuana won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 159:73. (average 8:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Toros de Tijuana won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 74:29. (average 6.7:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Toros de Tijuana - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.