Match Info

LMP

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Kino Sports Complex (Tucson, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	LMP Canal Youtube


	Tucson		Charros de Jalisco

	1	2
	2.3	1.55
			Watch
	2.38	1.53
			Watch
	2.35	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.34)	1.53 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson
39.6%

Charros de Jalisco
60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tucson have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Charros de Jalisco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Lineups

Batters
8. Howard G.	6. Hamilton B.
12. Leyva S.	40. Madris B.
41. Town R.	26. Wielansky M.
36. Fabela J.	31. Ornelas T.
32. Ruiz A.	17. Rodriguez R.
20. Rivera M.	18. Osuna A.
67. Mendoza R.	5. Gastelum C.
31. Quezada A.	7. Nevarez D.
25. Perez F.	73. Martinez L.
Pitchers
33. Holmes B.	54. Rodriguez L. I.
Coaches
. Romero W.	. Gil B.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Tucson have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jalisco is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Tucson has had a series of home games.

Jalisco might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Jalisco will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:45. (average 4:9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 6.5:12).

Last Results with these Odds

Tucson - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson LMP
LMP
20.12.25	Tucson - Charros de Jalisco	3:7 ✺
19.12.25	Tucson - Charros de Jalisco	10:17 ✺
18.12.25	Tucson - Venados de Mazatlán	4:3 ✺
17.12.25	Tucson - Venados de Mazatlán	4:5 ✺
16.12.25	Tucson - Venados de Mazatlán	10:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Charros de Jalisco
LMP
20.12.25	Tucson - Charros de Jalisco	3:7 ✺
19.12.25	Tucson - Charros de Jalisco	10:17 ✺
18.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	3:2 ✺
17.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	13:9 ✺
16.12.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tomateros de Culiacán	9:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

LMP
20.12.25	Tucson - Charros de Jalisco	3:7
19.12.25	Tucson - Charros de Jalisco	10:17
16.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tucson	5:1
15.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tucson	11:3
14.11.25	Charros de Jalisco - Tucson	5:3

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