Match Info

WORLD: WBSC Premier 12 - Winners stage

Date: 21 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Tokyo Dome (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	DAZN USA


	USA		Chinese Taipei

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.55	2.52
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.43	2.62
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	2.44 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
61.5%

Chinese Taipei
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chinese Taipei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chinese Taipei than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chinese Taipei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

USA - Chinese Taipei Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Chinese Taipei will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
6. Simpson C.	98. Chen Chen-Wei
1. Shaw M.	83. Lin Li
7. Williams C.	24. Chen Chieh-Hsien
11. Ritter L.	4. Giljegiljaw K.
9. Thomas C.	35. Chieh-Kai P.
18. Elko T.	90. Chiang Kun-Yu
2. Johnson T.	58. Yueh Tung-Hua
25. MacIver W.	27. Lin Chia Cheng
22. Crawford J.	9. Chang Yu-Cheng
Pitchers
40. Grotz Z.	20. Po-Ching C.
Coaches
. Scioscia M.	. Hao-Ju T.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

USA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

USA will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches USA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA baseball
WBSC Premier 12
21.11.24	Japan - USA	9:1 ✺
14.11.24	Mexico - USA	2:12 ✺
12.11.24	USA - Panama	9:3 ✺
11.11.24	Venezuela - USA	5:3 ✺
10.11.24	USA - Netherlands	12:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Chinese Taipei baseball
WBSC Premier 12
20.11.24	Venezuela - Chinese Taipei	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Chinese Taipei - Cuba	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Australia - Chinese Taipei	3:11 ✺
16.11.24	Chinese Taipei - Japan	1:3 ✺
14.11.24	Dominican Republic - Chinese Taipei	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WBSC Premier 12
14.11.19	USA - Chinese Taipei	3:2
Friendly International Baseball
14.07.19	USA - Chinese Taipei	1:3

USA - Chinese Taipei: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide