The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Worcester Red Sox 55.7%
Durham Bulls 44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Worcester Red Sox have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Durham Bulls have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The ML Model estimate for Worcester Red Sox aligns with the current prediction.
The ML Model estimate for Durham Bulls aligns with the current prediction.
Worcester Red Sox - Durham Bulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Worcester has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Durham has had a run of games away from home.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Worcester has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 101:75 (averaging 5.1:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Worcester against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 75:53 goals (averaging 5.4:3.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Worcester Red Sox - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Durham Bulls - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.