Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Ungmennafélag Álftaness (Álftanes)


	Álftaness		Valur

	1	2
	1.55	2.2
	1.59	2.24
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)	2.26 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Álftaness
59%

Valur
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Álftaness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Álftaness than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Álftaness that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Álftaness - Valur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Álftaness (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Andronikashvili R.	6. Acox K. (C)
1. James J.	10. Jonsson K.
19. Okeke D.	21. Lawson C.
13. Palsson H. (C)	5. Nikolic L.
22. Petursson S.	24. Woods K.
Substitutes
12. Arnarson H.	7. Booker F.
23. Bjornsson A. O.	77. Maric I.
18. Gudnason D.	18. Sigurdarson K.
8. Johannsson I.	3. Stefansson H.
10. Jonsson D.	9. Svavarsson O.
7. Kristjansson A. D.	11. Svavarsson V.
17. Nathanaelsson R.
Coaches
. Vilhjalmsson H.	. Stefansson F.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Álftaness might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Álftaness won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 405:438. (average 81:87.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Álftaness won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 173:170. (average 86.5:85).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Alftanes	1	1	0	111:77	2
3	Valur	1	1	0	90:77	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Álftaness Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
12.02.26	KR Basket Reykjavík - Álftaness	87:80 ✺
29.01.26	Njarðvík - Álftaness	101:96 ✺
22.01.26	Álftaness - Akraness	89:83 ✺
16.01.26	Grindavík - Álftaness	83:78 ✺
09.01.26	Álftaness - Thor Thorl	97:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
12.02.26	Valur - Akraness	102:85 ✺
29.01.26	Grindavík - Valur	78:67 ✺
22.01.26	Valur - Thor Thorl	80:71 OT ✺
15.01.26	Armann - Valur	92:77 ✺
Icelandic Cup Basketball
12.01.26	Valur - Keflavík	93:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
14.11.25	Valur - Álftaness	92:80
16.01.25	Valur - Álftaness	87:81
17.10.24	Álftaness - Valur	100:103 OT
07.03.24	Valur - Álftaness	89:71
23.11.23	Álftaness - Valur	73:67

Álftaness - Valur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide